If there is anything that Canadian dealmakers are all too familiar with in 2019, it’s the concept of uncertainty. Raging trade wars, geopolitical tensions, elections, and a forecasted economic downturn are all pervasive in everyday conversation. Despite this, deal flow has remained robust throughout the first three quarters of 2019, as summarized in a recent post. Fortunately, significant uncertainty in relation to trade with the U.S. and Mexico is hopefully coming to an end.
Deal count reached a seven-year high in Canada last year, but there has been a loss of momentum in the first half of 2019. On-going trade conflicts and concern over a possible market correction have generated greater economic uncertainty, and the investment outlook for the second half of the year continues to be clouded by these factors.
Rising valuations have been partly attributed to favourable debt conditions. With stimulus measures like the central bank holding interest rates low, the financial environment has been conducive to growth in Canada – so why are some investors dubious? For one, the … Continue Reading
Global trade tensions continue to be a source of uncertainty. The role of the United States as one of the most influential economies across the globe has presented limitations on the ability of many business sectors to easily absorb the trickle down effects of recent trade tariffs implemented by the Trump Administration. While this seems to present a problem for most companies that rely on international trade and distribution of products as the crux of their business, tariffs, at least if kept in place only temporarily, could create opportunities for distressed investors.
Two examples of the industries directly impacted are … Continue Reading