If there is anything that Canadian dealmakers are all too familiar with in 2019, it’s the concept of uncertainty. Raging trade wars, geopolitical tensions, elections, and a forecasted economic downturn are all pervasive in everyday conversation. Despite this, deal flow has remained robust throughout the first three quarters of 2019, as summarized in a recent post. Fortunately, significant uncertainty in relation to trade with the U.S. and Mexico is hopefully coming to an end.
The President of the United States recently made headlines when he announced that the United States and Mexico had reached a new bilateral trade deal to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and that the countries were prepared to move forward without Canada. Although Canada rejoined the NAFTA negotiations thereafter, the US announcement perpetuated the lingering uncertainty regarding the future of the trade relationship between Canada and its southern neighbour. This uncertainty already seems to have impacted M&A activity coming into, and out of, the “Great White North” and will likely continue to do so until … Continue Reading
Overall merger and acquisition deal value involving Canadian companies totalled $216.3 billion in 2017, which was approximately 14% lower than the $251.88 billion seen in 2016, which was a decade-high level. The fall in overall value was primarily caused by a 25% decline in energy deals, according to a report in Bloomberg, which resulted in the first year-over-year decline in total deal value since 2012-2013. Despite this decline, 2017 stands as one only five years since 1995 when deal value exceeded $200 billion, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal.
Outward bound M&A activity was down … Continue Reading
The election of Donald Trump as President of the United States adds to a cascade of political events that have surprised observers and may have profound effects on global flows of people, capital, and goods.
While nothing is set in stone, Donald Trump and his administration have led us to believe that they are contemplating significant changes to areas that may, indeed, have an effect on North American M&A.